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Consumer slump clouds Aussie economic growth

Australia's economy expanded at the fastest annual pace in over a year past quarter, thanks to a long-awaited jump in industry investment, but worrying weakness in household spending throw a cloud over the outlook for growth. Yesterday's data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics showed that gross domestic product (GDP) rose by 0.6 per cent in the third quarter, slowing from the previous quarter when it climbed 0.9 per cent. The end result just missed market forecasts of growth of 0.7 per cent for that quarter, and also nudged the area dollar down a quarter of a cent to US$0.7580.

The yearly rate hastened to 2.8 per cent, from 1.9 per cent, and conveniently outpaced the United States at 2.3 percent. The mixed outcome would be no surprise to the Reserve Bank of Australia, which just on Tuesday retained interest rates steady at 1.5 per cent in expectation of faster growth and a slow revival at inflation.


Investors suspect policy will keep on hold for quite a very long time in the future and interbank stocks aren't fully priced for a increase until ancient 20-19. In the event that you can not obtain yourself a stronger consumer, it's pretty difficult to get momentum planning GDP, said Sydney-based main economist Su-Lin Ong in RBC Capital. Household consumption makes up about 55 percent of Australia's A$1.7 trillion (S$1.74 trillion) market.

For all of us, the main in the center of the economy is domestic demand, and it's tough to see how momentum choices up there when you have so many struggles for both consumers and households, Ms Ong added. Australian individuals have been saddled with a mountain of debt that is rising in a much faster pace than incomes. Wage growth is crawling at the slowest rate in the past, while the unemployment rate continues to be up approximately 5.5 per cent.

Truly, household consumption rose just 0.1 percent in the quarter, the smallest increase since late 2012. Some of that spending had to be financed by saving less, with all the savings percentage down in a diminished 3.2 per cent compared with approximately 7 percent just three decades back. The paucity of requirement supposed inflation was additionally a no show, with a key step of domestic prices flat in the quarter.

Analysts noted that the economy is going to need to extend by a solid 0.9 percent that quarter, even if annual growth is not to slow again. Still, other pieces of the economy are chugging along, with all non-mining investment seeming to be turning a corner. The main driver of growth in the third quarter was technology structure, with a small assist in the build-up in inventories. Private investment rose 4.5 per cent last quarter, the largest gain in just four decades.